Markets and Economy

Read our latest market commentary on of-the-moment trends so you can make informed investment decisions

Fed Decision Awaited with Hike Odds Seen Above 90%

The Fed rate decision is today at 2 p.m. ET, and futures trading puts hike odds above 90%. It would be the first since 2023. Yields hit 19-year highs Tuesday and oil rose again.

Markets and Economy

Fed Rate Decision Awaited with Hike Odds Above 90%

Stocks rose on sinking oil before the Fed's 2 p.m. ET decision. Futures trading puts odds of a first hike since 2023 above 90%. Chairman Warsh's comments are eagerly awaited.

Markets and Economy

Fed Awaited After Yields Top 5%, Oil Spins Higher

Tomorrow is expected to bring the first Federal Reserve rate hike since 2023. Oil spiked and tech stocks stumbled Monday amid AI slowdown fears. The 10-year yield topped 5%.

International

European Stocks: Reasons to Reconsider

European equities may have support from global growth, improving fundamentals, lower relative valuations, and fiscal spending—plus diversification from the AI cycle.

Markets and Economy

Week Begins with Rate Hike Odds High After CPI

Last Friday's 0.3% monthly core CPI growth for August raised chances of a Fed rate hike Wednesday. Data is thin, so oil and a possible test of 5% for the 10-year note could be key.

Markets and Economy

Traders React Pre-Fed as Oil and Rates Climb

A possible Fed hike puts tech in focus, oil climbs past $100 with hurricane risk looming, and retail traders grow more selective while bitcoin holds a pivotal level.

Markets and Economy

CPI Ahead: Hot Reading Could Lift Rate Hike Odds

Today's Consumer Price Index for August is expected to show monthly CPI up 0.4% and core CPI up 0.2%. More energized readings might increase odds of a rate hike next week.

Markets and Economy

After Three-Day Slide, Traders Await Key PPI Data

August PPI is due at 8:30 a.m ET and precedes CPI Friday. Both have Fed rate implications. Stocks fell early this week on rising oil and yields. Oracle and Adobe report later.

Take a Hike: Rate Hikes and Market Impacts

History suggests slower Fed tightening tends to support stronger market returns and firmer economic growth, while faster hikes typically deepen drawdowns.

Markets and Economy

Songs of Experience: Reminiscences of a Strategist

It's been 40 years since I began my career on Wall Street and the lessons I learned along the way from some all-time investment greats always hold true.

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